ABSTRACT Objective To develop and validate a high-risk predictive model that identifies, at least, one common adverse event in older population: early readmission (up to 30 days after discharge), long hospital stays (10 days or more) or in-hospital deaths. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study including patients aged 60 years or older (n=340) admitted at a 630-beds tertiary hospital, located in the city of São Paulo, Brazil. A predictive model of high-risk indication was developed by analyzing logistical regression models. This model prognostic capacity was assessed by measuring accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve with 95% confidence intervals were also obtained to assess the discriminatory power of the model. Internal validation of the prognostic model was performed in a separate sample (n=168). Results Statistically significant predictors were identified, such as current Barthel Index, number of medications in use, presence of diabetes mellitus, difficulty chewing or swallowing, extensive surgery, and dementia. The study observed discrimination model acceptance in the construction sample 0.77 (95% confidence interval: 0.71-0.83) and good calibration. The characteristics of the validation samples were similar, and the receiver operating characteristic curve area was 0.687 (95% confidence interval: 0.598-0.776). We could assess an older patient’s adverse health events during hospitalization after admission. Conclusion A predictive model with acceptable discrimination was obtained, with satisfactory results for early readmission (30 days), long hospital stays (10 days), or in-hospital death.

RESUMO Objetivo Investigar a associação entre capacidade respiratória, qualidade de vida e função cognitiva em idosos. Métodos A amostra incluiu 386 idosos (232 mulheres). A capacidade respiratória foi avaliada pela pressão expiratória máxima obtida no pico de fluxo expiratório. Com base nos resultados máximos de fluxo expiratório, os indivíduos foram classificados de acordo com o valor previsto para sexo, idade e estatura em capacidade respiratória normal (curva de fluxo expiratório de pico inferior a 80% e superior a 60%) ou capacidade respiratória reduzida (curva de fluxo expiratório de pico menor que 60%). O questionário World Health Organization Quality of Life e o Miniexame do Estado Mental foram utilizados para avaliar a qualidade de vida e a função cognitiva, respectivamente. Resultados Em comparação com mulheres idosas com capacidade respiratória normal, as pessoas com capacidade respiratória reduzida apresentaram escores mais baixos para o Miniexame do Estado Mental (p=0,048) e qualidade de vida (p=0,040). Nos homens, não foram observadas diferenças (p>0,05). Conclusão Capacidade respiratória reduzida foi associada à pior qualidade de vida e à função cognitiva em mulheres idosas. Essas associações não foram observadas em idosos do sexo masculino.

ABSTRACT Objective To investigate associations between respiratory capacity, quality of life and cognitive function in elderly individuals. Methods The sample included 386 elderly individuals (232 women). Respiratory capacity assessment was based on maximal expiratory pressure measured at peak expiratory flow. Subjects were classified according to peak expiratory flow values adjusted for sex, age and height of individuals with normal (peak expiratory flow curve <80% and >60%) or reduced (peak expiratory flow curve < 60%) respiratory capacity. The World Health Organization Quality of Life Questionnaire and the Mini-Mental State Examination were used to assess quality of life and cognitive function, respectively. Results Elderly women with reduced respiratory capacity scored lower on the Mini-Mental State Examination (p=0.048) and quality of life questionnaire (p=0.040) compared to those with normal respiratory capacity. These differences were not observed in men (p>0.05). Conclusion Reduced respiratory capacity was associated with poorer quality of life and cognitive function in elderly women. These associations were not observed in elderly men.

RESUMO Objetivo comparar os indicadores de qualidade de saúde de vida (QV) entre idosos homens e mulheres institucionalizados e aqueles que vivem na comunidade sozinhos ou com a família. Método estudo transversal com amostra composta por 496 idosos homens e mulheres, entrevistados por pesquisadores em um hospital privado que atende idosos institucionalizados e da comunidade. Os indicadores de QV (World Health Organization Quality of Life), atividades da vida diária (Katz questionnaire), atividades instrumentais da vida diária (Lawton questionnaire), exame do estado mental (mini-mental), teste de força de preensão manual (Handgrip) e capacidade funcional (Timed up to go) foram obtidos. Resultados homens institucionalizados apresentaram maiores escores de QV no domínio físico e psicológico em relação aos idosos que vivem na comunidade sozinhos (p<0,05). Nas mulheres, os escores em todos os domínios de QV (físico, psicológico, relações sociais e ambientais) foram semelhantes entre as idosas institucionalizadas e as residentes na comunidade, que vivem sozinhas ou com a família. Conclusão homens idosos institucionalizados relataram melhores escores de QV nos domínios físico e psicológico em comparação com pares que vivem na comunidade, enquanto, em mulheres, resultados similares foram observados nas idosas institucionalizadas e da comunidade.

SUMMARY Objective To compare the health-related quality of life (HRQL) indicators between institutionalized and community-dwelling elderly men and women. Method This was a cross-sectional study with a sample of 496 elderly men and women, surveyed by researchers at a private hospital that attends institutionalized and community-dwelling elderly. HRQL (World Health Organization Quality of Life), daily living activities (Katz questionnaire), and instrumental daily living activities (Lawton questionnaire), mini-mental state examination, handgrip strength test, and function capacity (timed up and go test) were obtained. Results Institutionalized men presented higher scores in physical and psychological domains of HRQL compared to elderly men living alone (p<0.05). Among women, the scores in all domains (physical, psychological, relationship, and environment) were similar between institutionalized and community-dwelling individuals. Conclusion Institutionalized elderly men reported better scores in physical and psychological domains of HRQL compared to their community-dwelling pairs, while both institutionalized and community-dwelling elderly women presented similar HRQL.